futarchy markets
vote on values, bet on beliefs
prediction markets for governance outcomes • bet ksm on referendum results • coretime sales • treasury burns
active markets
4
total volume
547.8 KSM
avg accuracy
73.2%
participants
1,247
Referendum #47 Will Pass
Treasury proposal for 1000 KSM developer funding will be approved by governance
governance
6d 23h
73¢
YES
27¢
NO
Volume: 234.5 KSMShares: 1950
Treasury Burn > 500 KSM This Month
Monthly treasury burn will exceed 500 KSM due to low proposal activity
treasury
11d 23h
42¢
YES
58¢
NO
Volume: 156.8 KSMShares: 2130
Coretime Sales Hit 10K KSM
Next coretime auction will generate over 10,000 KSM in total sales
coretime
20d 23h
68¢
YES
32¢
NO
Volume: 89.2 KSMShares: 985
Validator Count Drops Below 900
Active validator set will fall below 900 due to economic conditions
network
4d 23h
35¢
YES
65¢
NO
Volume: 67.3 KSMShares: 1270
how futarchy works
prediction markets
- • bet on governance outcomes
- • prices reflect probability
- • market-driven consensus
- • incentivized accuracy
betting mechanics
- • buy YES or NO shares
- • prices adjust with volume
- • win if outcome matches
- • automated settlement
governance integration
- • track referendum outcomes
- • treasury burn predictions
- • coretime sales forecasts
- • network health metrics